PADOVA - MODENA +0.75 @ 1.86 12bet 5/10
Only defender Perna (22atts.) out for Modena, while for padova remain out first and second topscorers - striker Succi (20atts 15 goals) and midfielder Di Gennaro (17atts. 5 goals), regular keeper Agliardi and midfielder Italiano (11atts.), defender Crespo (21 atts 1 goal) is in doubt.
With all these absences Padova already won against Crotone and drawn against Livorno in midweek (and i lose both my bets against them).
But it is important to say that both Crotone and Livorno made mistakes: Crotone played to gain 0-0, so at the end they were punished, Livorno was a disaster in defence.
Other two facts in favour of a bet against home team: Apart the absences said above, Padova has today also out suspended midfielder Bovo ( 22atts. 2 goals) and defender. Trevisan (13atts.). Second, played in midweek, while Modena not.
At this level and with all this players out, i think is not easy to replace in adequate way absences and at the same time make a good turnover, so tiredness for three matches in a week should be another factor against Padova.
I hope will be not another sirprise with this team.
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